Model weights

Every model starts with an equal vote. As its calls resolve, the panel leans toward the ones whose confidence proves well-calibrated and whose recent form holds up — so a model’s weight drifts above or below the dashed equal-vote line. Nothing here is set by hand; it is read straight from the resolved log.

Current standings

Weight is a model’s vote share before its own confidence is applied. A model only moves off equal once it has a genuine, sustained record — a couple of lucky calls barely shift it.